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Statistical analysis of paired data: mixed review

Read the idea, work independently, then explain what changed.

TOPIC 01

Statistical analysis of paired data: mixed review

A mixed assessment: identify the method, justify it and revise your reasoning.

What you will be able to explain

  • Connect the chapter skills without relying on the order of the exercises.

Try it. Leave your reasoning visible.

Use one hint at a time. A correction explains what changed, not just the final answer.

01 / Foundation#Your turn

Find r from centered summaries.

Sxx=4,Syy=400,Sxy=20S_{xx}=4,\quad S_{yy}=400,\quad S_{xy}=20
  • Both centered sums of squares must be positive; correlation measures linear association and does not establish causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
r=Sxy/SxxSyyr=S_{xy}/\sqrt{S_{xx}S_{yy}}
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    r=20/(40)=1/2r=20/(40)=1/2
  3. The positive square root gives the denominator scale.

The requested value is 0.5.

Checks and common pitfalls: The positive square root gives the denominator scale.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

02 / Foundation#Your turn

Find the intercept.

xˉ=2,yˉ=45,b=21\bar x=2,\quad\bar y=45,\quad b=21
  • Sxx>0; extrapolation beyond observed x needs separate justification and predictions are not certain outcomes.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
a=yˉ−bxˉa=\bar y-b\bar x
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    a=45−2(21)=3a=45-2(21)=3
  3. The fitted line passes through the data centroid.

The requested value is 3.

Checks and common pitfalls: The fitted line passes through the data centroid.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

03 / Foundation#Your turn

Calculate χ² for the table.

O=(64323264)O=\begin{pmatrix}64&32\\32&64\end{pmatrix}
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
All expected cells are 3u/2.
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    χ2=4[(32/2)2/(96/2)]=64/3\chi^2=4[(32/2)^2/(96/2)]=64/3
  3. All four nonnegative cell contributions must be included.

The requested value is 21.3333333333.

Checks and common pitfalls: All four nonnegative cell contributions must be included.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

04 / Foundation#Your turn

For pairs (−1,t),(0,0),(1,t), find Sxy.

t=23t=23
  • Both centered sums of squares must be positive; correlation measures linear association and does not establish causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
xˉ=0;Sxy=∑xi(yi−yˉ)\bar x=0;\quad S_{xy}=\sum x_i(y_i-\bar y)
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Sxy=−1(23−46/3)+1(23−46/3)=0S_{xy}=-1(23-46/3)+1(23-46/3)=0
  3. Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

The requested value is 0.

Checks and common pitfalls: Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

05 / Foundation#Your turn

Find the fitted slope.

Sxx=2,Sxy=48S_{xx}=2,\quad S_{xy}=48
  • Sxx>0; extrapolation beyond observed x needs separate justification and predictions are not certain outcomes.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
b=Sxy/Sxxb=S_{xy}/S_{xx}
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    b=48/2=24b=48/2=24
  3. The denominator is the variation in the predictor x.

The requested value is 24.

Checks and common pitfalls: The denominator is the variation in the predictor x.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

06 / Foundation#Your turn

Under independence, find E11.

O=(70353570)O=\begin{pmatrix}70&35\\35&70\end{pmatrix}
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
E11=R1C1/NE_{11}=R_1C_1/N
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    E11=(105)2/210=52.5E_{11}=(105)^2/210=52.5
  3. Use both relevant margins and the full sample size.

The requested value is 52.5.

Checks and common pitfalls: Use both relevant margins and the full sample size.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

07 / Standard#Your turn

For pairs (−1,t),(0,0),(1,t), find Sxy.

t=26t=26
  • Both centered sums of squares must be positive; correlation measures linear association and does not establish causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
xˉ=0;Sxy=∑xi(yi−yˉ)\bar x=0;\quad S_{xy}=\sum x_i(y_i-\bar y)
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Sxy=−1(26−52/3)+1(26−52/3)=0S_{xy}=-1(26-52/3)+1(26-52/3)=0
  3. Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

The requested value is 0.

Checks and common pitfalls: Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

08 / Standard#Your turn

For x=−1,0,1 and y=−t,0,t, find the least-squares slope.

t=27t=27
  • Sxx>0; extrapolation beyond observed x needs separate justification and predictions are not certain outcomes.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
xˉ=yˉ=0\bar x=\bar y=0
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Sxx=2,Sxy=54S_{xx}=2,\quad S_{xy}=54
  3. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    b=27b=27
  4. Preserve the paired order when calculating products.

The requested value is 27.

Checks and common pitfalls: Preserve the paired order when calculating products.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

09 / Standard#Your turn

A before/after category table records the same t people twice. Can a standard independent-observation chi-square analysis treat the records as separate people?

t=38t=38
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Check whether rows share participants.
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    paired records are dependent\text{paired records are dependent}
  3. The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

the independent-observation assumption fails\text{the independent-observation assumption fails}

Checks and common pitfalls: The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

10 / Standard#Your turn

For pairs (−1,t),(0,0),(1,t), find Sxy.

t=29t=29
  • Both centered sums of squares must be positive; correlation measures linear association and does not establish causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
xˉ=0;Sxy=∑xi(yi−yˉ)\bar x=0;\quad S_{xy}=\sum x_i(y_i-\bar y)
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Sxy=−1(29−58/3)+1(29−58/3)=0S_{xy}=-1(29-58/3)+1(29-58/3)=0
  3. Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

The requested value is 0.

Checks and common pitfalls: Symmetry cancels the centered products even though the pattern is nonlinear.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

11 / Standard#Your turn

For x=−1,0,1 and y=−t,0,t, find the least-squares slope.

t=30t=30
  • Sxx>0; extrapolation beyond observed x needs separate justification and predictions are not certain outcomes.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
xˉ=yˉ=0\bar x=\bar y=0
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Sxx=2,Sxy=60S_{xx}=2,\quad S_{xy}=60
  3. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    b=30b=30
  4. Preserve the paired order when calculating products.

The requested value is 30.

Checks and common pitfalls: Preserve the paired order when calculating products.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

12 / Standard#Your turn

A before/after category table records the same t people twice. Can a standard independent-observation chi-square analysis treat the records as separate people?

t=41t=41
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Check whether rows share participants.
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    paired records are dependent\text{paired records are dependent}
  3. The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

the independent-observation assumption fails\text{the independent-observation assumption fails}

Checks and common pitfalls: The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

13 / Transfer#Your turn

An observational survey reports the displayed positive correlation between study time and score. Does it prove a causal effect?

r=0.1r=0.1
  • Both centered sums of squares must be positive; correlation measures linear association and does not establish causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Consider confounding and study design.
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    Prior preparation may influence both variables.\text{Prior preparation may influence both variables.}
  3. The size of an observational correlation does not replace a causal design or justified control of confounding.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

association does not establish causation\text{association does not establish causation}

Checks and common pitfalls: The size of an observational correlation does not replace a causal design or justified control of confounding.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

14 / Transfer#Your turn

For x=−1,0,1 and y=t,0,t, find the fitted line and explain what it misses.

t=33t=33
  • Sxx>0; extrapolation beyond observed x needs separate justification and predictions are not certain outcomes.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
Sxy=0,yˉ=2t/3S_{xy}=0,\quad \bar y=2t/3
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    b=0,a=66/3b=0,\quad a=66/3
  3. The zero slope misses a U-shaped relation, so inspect the scatter as well as the line.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

y^=66/3\hat y=66/3

Checks and common pitfalls: The zero slope misses a U-shaped relation, so inspect the scatter as well as the line.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

15 / Transfer#Your turn

A before/after category table records the same t people twice. Can a standard independent-observation chi-square analysis treat the records as separate people?

t=44t=44
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Check whether rows share participants.
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    paired records are dependent\text{paired records are dependent}
  3. The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

the independent-observation assumption fails\text{the independent-observation assumption fails}

Checks and common pitfalls: The study needs a method for paired categorical outcomes rather than treating repeated people as independent.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

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