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The displayed test statistic is below the supplied 5% threshold 3.841. State the defensible conclusion.

Read the idea, work independently, then explain what changed.

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高三選擇性必修 第三册(A版).pdf · 8.3 · PDF 129 / printed page 124

Revisit first: Correlation of paired data

TOPIC 01

Contingency tables and independence tests

Compute expected counts and a chi-square statistic and state a bounded conclusion.

What you will be able to explain

  • Compute expected counts and a chi-square statistic and state a bounded conclusion.
  • Justify the method and check the conditions in a new situation.

Try it. Leave your reasoning visible.

Use one hint at a time. A correction explains what changed, not just the final answer.

01 / Transfer#Worked example

The displayed test statistic is below the supplied 5% threshold 3.841. State the defensible conclusion.

χ2=1+4/5\chi^2=1+4/5
  • Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
1<t/(t+1)+1<2<3.8411<t/(t+1)+1<2<3.841
Worked solution
  1. Use the paired-data summaries, preserving which observations belong together.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    insufficient evidence against independence under the stated model\text{insufficient evidence against independence under the stated model}
  3. Absence of sufficient evidence is not proof of no association; sample power and assumptions still matter.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

do not reject independence at this level\text{do not reject independence at this level}

Checks and common pitfalls: Absence of sufficient evidence is not proof of no association; sample power and assumptions still matter.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

Focus on one question

Teacher preparation and assessment

Question sequence

  • Compute expected counts and a chi-square statistic and state a bounded conclusion.
  • Which condition is essential in contingency tables and independence tests?
  • Can a larger sample increase the statistic when proportions stay fixed?

Board plan

  • Defining relation: Compute expected counts and a chi-square statistic and state a bounded conclusion.
    Eij=RiCj/N;χ2=∑(O−E)2/EE_{ij}=R_iC_j/N;\quad\chi^2=\sum(O-E)^2/E
  • Conditions: Observations must be independent; expected counts support the supplied large-sample approximation. Rejection is evidence of association, not causation.

Anticipated thinking

  • Failure to reject does not prove independence.

Assessment checklist

  • 1 mark: choose the correct representation and conditions.
  • 1 mark: establish the intermediate relation.
  • 1 mark: complete a connected calculation or proof.
  • 1 mark: interpret and check the conclusion.

No sign-in. Work stays in this browser. Export before clearing browser data. Written reasoning is assessed with a checklist.

Curriculum and source notes ↗