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Independent trials succeed with probability 1/2. Find the least n for success at least once with probability ≥1−2^(−m).

Read the idea, work independently, then explain what changed.

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高三選擇性必修 第三册(A版).pdf · 7.4 · PDF 77 / printed page 72

Revisit first: Numerical characteristics of random variables

TOPIC 01

Binomial and hypergeometric distributions

Choose the correct model for repeated independent trials or sampling without replacement.

What you will be able to explain

  • Choose the correct model for repeated independent trials or sampling without replacement.
  • Justify the method and check the conditions in a new situation.

Try it. Leave your reasoning visible.

Use one hint at a time. A correction explains what changed, not just the final answer.

01 / Transfer#Your turn

Independent trials succeed with probability 1/2. Find the least n for success at least once with probability ≥1−2^(−m).

m=6m=6
  • Binomial trials have fixed n, common p and independence; hypergeometric sampling uses a finite population without replacement.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Express the event with a conditional probability or a disjoint partition.
Hint 2
Use this intermediate relation.
1−2−n≥1−2−m1-2^{-n}\ge1-2^{-m}
Worked solution
  1. Express the event with a conditional probability or a disjoint partition.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    2−n≤2−6⇒n≥62^{-n}\le2^{-6}\Rightarrow n\ge6
  3. Use the complementary event of no successes.

The requested value is 6.

Checks and common pitfalls: Use the complementary event of no successes.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

Focus on one question

Teacher preparation and assessment

Question sequence

  • Choose the correct model for repeated independent trials or sampling without replacement.
  • Which condition is essential in binomial and hypergeometric distributions?
  • Which probability changes after one success is removed from a finite bag?

Board plan

  • Defining relation: Choose the correct model for repeated independent trials or sampling without replacement.
    P(X=k)=Cnkpk(1−p)n−kP(X=k)=C_n^kp^k(1-p)^{n-k}
  • Conditions: Binomial trials have fixed n, common p and independence; hypergeometric sampling uses a finite population without replacement.

Anticipated thinking

  • Sampling without replacement is not generally binomial.

Assessment checklist

  • 1 mark: choose the correct representation and conditions.
  • 1 mark: establish the intermediate relation.
  • 1 mark: complete a connected calculation or proof.
  • 1 mark: interpret and check the conclusion.

No sign-in. Work stays in this browser. Export before clearing browser data. Written reasoning is assessed with a checklist.

Curriculum and source notes ↗