← Senior Mathematics Studio

LEARN · EXPLAIN · REVISE

A and B are disjoint and both have positive probability. Can they be independent?

Read the idea, work independently, then explain what changed.

Return to the lesson / paper ↗

高三選擇性必修 第三册(A版).pdf · 7.1 · PDF 49 / printed page 44

Revisit first: Permutations and combinations

TOPIC 01

Conditional and total probability

Use conditional denominators, disjoint partitions and Bayes inversion.

What you will be able to explain

  • Use conditional denominators, disjoint partitions and Bayes inversion.
  • Justify the method and check the conditions in a new situation.

Try it. Leave your reasoning visible.

Use one hint at a time. A correction explains what changed, not just the final answer.

01 / Transfer#Your turn

A and B are disjoint and both have positive probability. Can they be independent?

P(A)=1/17,P(B)=1/17P(A)=1/17,\quad P(B)=1/17
  • The conditioning event must have positive probability; a total-probability partition is exhaustive and disjoint.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Express the event with a conditional probability or a disjoint partition.
Hint 2
Compare the intersection with the product.
Worked solution
  1. Express the event with a conditional probability or a disjoint partition.

  2. Apply the stated relation and retain its conditions.

    P(A)P(B)=1/289>0P(A)P(B)=1/289>0
  3. Disjoint positive-probability events are dependent.

The requested relation or conclusion is shown below.

P(A∩B)=0≠P(A)P(B)P(A\cap B)=0\ne P(A)P(B)

Checks and common pitfalls: Disjoint positive-probability events are dependent.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State a valid definition or model and its assumptions.
  • Show the intermediate mathematical relations, not only the final claim.
  • Check exclusions, units or the interpretation of the result.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

Focus on one question

Teacher preparation and assessment

Question sequence

  • Use conditional denominators, disjoint partitions and Bayes inversion.
  • Which condition is essential in conditional and total probability?
  • Can two events be independent even when both may occur together?

Board plan

  • Defining relation: Use conditional denominators, disjoint partitions and Bayes inversion.
    P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)P(A|B)=P(A\cap B)/P(B)
  • Conditions: The conditioning event must have positive probability; a total-probability partition is exhaustive and disjoint.

Anticipated thinking

  • P(A|B) need not equal P(B|A), and independence differs from mutual exclusivity.

Assessment checklist

  • 1 mark: choose the correct representation and conditions.
  • 1 mark: establish the intermediate relation.
  • 1 mark: complete a connected calculation or proof.
  • 1 mark: interpret and check the conclusion.

No sign-in. Work stays in this browser. Export before clearing browser data. Written reasoning is assessed with a checklist.

Curriculum and source notes ↗