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The probability of each component failing is 1/(k+1), but common power failures can affect both. Can the independent-series formula be used without further evidence?

Read the idea, work independently, then explain what changed.

TOPIC 01

Probability: mixed assessment

A mixed assessment: identify the method, justify it and revise your reasoning.

What you will be able to explain

  • Connect the chapter skills without relying on the order of the exercises.

Try it. Leave your reasoning visible.

Use one hint at a time. A correction explains what changed, not just the final answer.

01 / Transfer#Your turn

The probability of each component failing is 1/(k+1), but common power failures can affect both. Can the independent-series formula be used without further evidence?

k=11k=11
  • Use the domain, units and sampling assumptions stated in the question.
Skills and prerequisite lessons

Working and explanation

BUILD THE REASONING

Hint 1
Use independence only when justified and keep it distinct from disjointness.
Hint 2
Inspect shared causes, not just marginal probabilities.
Worked solution
  1. Use independence only when justified and keep it distinct from disjointness.

  2. Calculate or simplify this relation.

    P(A∩B)≠P(A)P(B) in generalP(A\cap B)\ne P(A)P(B)\text{ in general}
  3. A numerical marginal rate does not establish independence.

No; a shared cause may create dependence.

Checks and common pitfalls: A numerical marginal rate does not establish independence.

Reasoning checklist · self / teacher assessment
  • State the relevant definition, condition or model.
  • Show a valid calculation, proof or counterexample.
  • Interpret the conclusion with its restrictions.

Think first. Reveal a hint when the class is ready.

Focus on one question

Teacher preparation and assessment

Question sequence

  • Ask students to name the relevant condition before calculating.

Board plan

  • Compare valid methods and annotate their conditions.

Anticipated thinking

  • A correct final value may still hide a missing assumption.

Assessment checklist

  • Check the method, conditions, reasoning and interpretation separately.

No sign-in. Work stays in this browser. Export before clearing browser data. Written reasoning is assessed with a checklist.

Curriculum and source notes ↗